Northern Oil Valuation
| NOG Stock | USD 25.00 0.18 0.73% |
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Northern Oil Gas secures a last-minute Real Value of $26.83 per share. The latest price of the firm is $25.0. Our model forecasts the value of Northern Oil Gas from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.09 %, return on equity of 0.0795, and Current Valuation of 4.74 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Northern Oil's valuation include:
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Northern Oil's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Northern Oil Gas is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Northern Oil's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Northern stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Northern Oil Gas. Since Northern Oil is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Northern Stock. However, Northern Oil's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 25.0 | Real 26.83 | Target 29.9 | Hype 24.98 | Naive 25.16 |
The real value of Northern Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Northern Oil Gas Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Northern Oil's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Northern Oil's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Northern Oil Gas helps investors to forecast how Northern stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Northern Oil more accurately as focusing exclusively on Northern Oil's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: When choosing an evaluation method for Northern Oil Gas, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.
Northern Oil Cash |
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Northern Revenue by Product
Northern Oil Total Value Analysis
Northern Oil Gas is now estimated to have company total value of 4.74 B with market capitalization of 2.44 B, debt of 2.37 B, and cash on hands of 8.93 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Northern Oil fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
4.74 B | 2.44 B | 2.37 B | 8.93 M |
Northern Oil Investor Information
About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Northern Oil Gas has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.56. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2025. The firm had 1:10 split on the 21st of September 2020. Northern Oil Gas may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial distress next quarter.Northern Oil Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Northern Oil has an asset utilization ratio of 38.61 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.39 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Northern Oil Gas is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Northern Oil Profitability Analysis
Taking into consideration Northern Oil's profitability measurements, Northern Oil Gas is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great risk to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Northern Oil's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Income | First Reported 1999-09-30 | Previous Quarter 99.6 M | Current Value -129.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 151.9 M |
For Northern Oil profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Northern Oil Gas to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Northern Oil utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Northern Oil's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Northern Oil over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Northern Oil Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Northern Oil is estimated to be 0.7374 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.54 to a high of 1.15. Northern Oil's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.82. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Northern Oil Gas is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Northern Oil Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Northern Oil's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Northern Oil is estimated to be 0.7374 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.54 to a high of 1.15. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Northern Oil Gas is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
0.54 Lowest | Expected EPS | 1.15 Highest |
Northern Oil Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Northern Oil's value are higher than the current market price of the Northern Oil stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Northern Oil is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Northern Oil's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of March 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 11 | 89.74% | 0.0 | 0.7374 | 1.82 |
Northern Oil Ownership Allocation
The majority of Northern Oil outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Northern Oil Gas to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Northern Oil Gas. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Northern Oil as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on September 15, 2025, Representative Lisa McClain of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Northern Oil Gas's common stock.Northern Oil Profitability Analysis
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.16 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 520.31 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.58 B.Northern Oil Past Distributions to stockholders
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Northern Oil's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Northern Oil and how it compares across the competition.
About Northern Oil Valuation
The stock valuation mechanism determines Northern Oil's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Northern Oil. We calculate exposure to Northern Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Northern Oil's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 961.4 M | 1 B | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.36 | 0.38 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.45 | 0.47 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.28 | 0.29 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.44 | 0.53 |
A single share of Northern Oil represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Northern, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.
Northern Oil Dividends Analysis For Valuation
The current Dividends Paid is estimated to decrease to about 138.5 M. The current Dividend Yield is estimated to decrease to 0.03. At this time, Northern Oil's Price Earnings Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Dividends Paid | 145.8 M | 138.5 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | 0.36 | 0.34 | |
| Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio | 0.68 | 0.44 |
There are various types of dividends Northern Oil can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Northern shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Northern Oil Gas directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Northern pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Northern Oil by the value of the dividends paid out.
Northern Oil Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Northern Oil does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.3 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.265 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 11.1359 |
Northern Oil Current Valuation Indicators
Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Northern Oil Gas and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Northern we look at many different elements of the entity such as Northern's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Northern Oil, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Northern Oil's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Northern Oil's worth.Complementary Tools for Northern Stock analysis
When running Northern Oil's price analysis, check to measure Northern Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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